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3. Can "Electric China" Solve the Energy Crisis?

Our development of electric vehicles is not for the purpose of developing electric vehicles, but is actually closely related to the energy situation of our country. In 2004, our engineering institute conducted a consulting project on the situation of China's oil and gas resources in 2050. The result of this execution project is roughly as follows: by 2050, China's self-produced oil production will be about 180 million tons per year, which is not a problem. That is to say, from now on to 2050, it can still reach the level of 180 million tons per year.

In fact, this red line is 180 million tons, which was approximately 190 million tons last year. It is best not to exceed 50% of the external dependence of oil. In 2017, the imported oil was 420 million tons, while the domestic oil was 192 million tons. The external dependence rate reached 68.6%, far exceeding 50%. So our car ownership is 217 million, 167 per thousand people, and the world average is 131 per thousand people. Currently, we are slightly higher than the world average, but still far from the 800 per thousand people in the United States. If we calculate the fuel consumption of a car based on an average of two tons of oil per year, it is 430 million tons of oil. That is to say, we imported 420 million tons of oil for the car to use.

Recently, two large oil fields with a hidden capacity of 1 billion tons were discovered, both of which were reported as major good news. I asked them what the recovery rate is, and he said that the recovery rate may be less than 50%, about 40%. If there are two oil fields, that is to say, there is no need to import for two years, but they will still need to be imported in the third year, and it is impossible for such a 1 billion ton oil field to be discovered all the time. So it can be seen from this that our oil storage capacity is currently only 40 days, while Japan's oil storage capacity is 200 days. Our country hopes to store oil for 100 days, so in fact, our oil storage capacity has greatly increased in recent years.

Energy security is a crucial issue, and at that time we were divided into several groups: the electricity substitution group, the coal substitution group, the biomass substitution group, and the overall group. I am from the electric replacement group, which is to develop electric vehicles to replace imported oil. This is a conclusion of our electric replacement group. In addition, we need to consider global carbon dioxide emissions, as we have participated in the Paris Climate Agreement. In 2010, China's carbon dioxide emissions began to rise sharply, dropping slightly in recent years, and then rising again. China's carbon dioxide emissions are among the top, so in reality, we are under considerable pressure.

The Paris Climate Agreement stipulates that the temperature rise cannot exceed two degrees, which is also everyone's hope. Because the snowy mountains in the western part of our country seem to have started to melt. You see, the United States has lower emissions than us. Originally, it was ranked first, so now our country is ranked first. Because India is currently developing rapidly, if it does not control it, it will definitely surpass China far. We hope that transportation can be electrified. Small cities have bicycles, cars, and buses, while large cities have an additional subway. Currently, there are high-speed trains between cities, airplanes, and ships. We hope that electric vehicles, electric aircraft, and electric ships, including high-speed rail, aircraft, and ships, can be electrified, which relies on lithium-ion batteries.

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