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Profit forecasts and ratings. In the second half of the year, new energy vehicles will be released, and the energy storage field is expected to become a new demand point for lithium batteries. Lithium carbonate is expected to maintain a tight balance throughout the year, and the average price of battery grade lithium carbonate is expected to remain at 130000 to 150000 yuan/ton in the second half of the year. Further release of company production is expected to improve performance, with an expected net profit of 850 million yuan in the second half of the year. At the same time, the company has launched the first phase of the "Annual Production of 20000 tons of Battery Grade Lithium Hydroxide" project, which will take 2-4 years to construct and is expected to become a new profit growth point for the company in the future. It is expected that the company's net profit in 2016 and 2017 will be 1.6 billion and 1.95 billion yuan respectively, with EPS of 1.61 and 1.96 yuan, corresponding to a current stock price of 27.7 times PE and a target price of 48.3 yuan, maintaining a "recommended" rating.

Risk statement The growth rate of new energy vehicles is lower than expected, and the global lithium carbonate production growth rate exceeds expectations.

Ganfeng Lithium Industry: Breaking free from constraints, reshaping the industry, with strong certainty

Event: Recently, Ganfeng Lithium Industry announced a series of announcements involving a 160% increase in RIM's reserves, signing a new underwriting agreement, investing in the construction of a 20000 ton lithium hydroxide project, and a wholly-owned subsidiary of Meibai Electronics' 200 million ampere hour polymer lithium battery project.

Lithium resource reserves have increased by 160%, and Ganfeng is ready for the future. The estimated amount of mineral resources for the MtMarion lithium project has increased by 160%, equivalent to 2.04 million tons of lithium carbonate. After this increase in reserves, the mining life of the MtMarion project has been extended, which means that Ganfeng Lithium's equity lithium carbonate reserves in the MtMarion lithium project reach 880000 tons, which is sufficient for Ganfeng Lithium to achieve sustained and stable production for 18 years with expanded production capacity.

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